Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Proshares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBT:NYSE)


The Proshares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBT:NYSE) has proven immensely popular, with average daily volume above 5 million shares. TBT is designed to rise when long bond prices fall. Thus, to go long TBT is to cast a predictive vote for rising interest rates, rising inflation expectations, and deteriorating credit conditions fueling a loss of faith in Uncle Sam.

The thing is, the logic behind this trade may have become too obvious. When that happens, the odds of a nasty correction increase significantly.

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4 comments:

Bahodir said...

Hey, did you stop posting on your blog? Would like to see more of your posts.

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The Index includes all publicly issued, the United States Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than 20 years, are United States dollars, are rated investment grade.
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